*By Dechen Palmo
China,
a country known for its smoggy sky and hazardous environmental conditions, has
become a prospective global leader on climate change. The environment is
already a massive and potentially explosive issue in China and there is a huge
domestic pressure on framing and implementation of better environmental
policies. With Premier Li Keqiang's pledge during the National People's
Congress on March 2017, to "Make the sky blue again,” China understands
its severe environmental problems and the need to find a solution as soon as
possible.
The Zangmu Hydropower Dam |
China's
13th five-year plan for energy development, covering the period from 2016 to
2020, was officially published in early January, 2017. It outlines a strategy
to reduce reliance on coal and to achieve minimum share of 15 percent of
non-fossil energy sources. Specific targets include an additional 60GW of
hydropower. China having dammed most of its rivers are now looking to
explore Tibetan rivers as potential sources of energy.
The
Tibetan Plateau has the largest reserve of fresh water outside the two poles,
making it a source of major international rivers running across Asia. China,
now in a position of control over these water resources, makes the riparian
countries more dependent on incoming water from Tibet.
Moreover,
China voted against
the UN Convention on The Law of Non-Navigational Use of International
Watercourses which was adopted in 1997. It is not bound by the law and this
gives Beijing an opportunity to use the water without hindrance. And China is
using this power by engaging in dam-building and river diversion plans and
other activities along international rivers without consultation with the
riparian states.
It
is justified that many of the South Asian countries have not ratified the UN
convention as China (upstream) is not a member of the convention with whom they
are dependent for water.
Yarlung
Tsangpo (Brahmaputra) is one such river that is causing friction amongst all
three recipient countries, especially between India and China. The Zangmu
Dam, the largest dam on Yarlung Tsangpo is the cause of serious concern to the
downstream countries. Although China’s claim that the dam built on Yarlung
Tsangpo wouldn’t impact the flow of the river but the general public who are
directly dependent on the river have serious doubts about
China’s intention. But the government of India is assuaged by China
assurance that the dam built on Yarlung Tsangpo isn't intended to regulate
water.
On
January 2013, China's State Council gave a go-ahead for three more hydropower
dams on Yarlung Tsangpo, which are Dagu, Jiacha and Jiexu in Lhoka in south
Tibet. Beside this, China has planned to construct seven more dams on the
mainstream of Yarlung Tsangpo. When will the downstream countries raise this
issue with China is still an unanswered question. Will it be after the
completion of damming the river?
With
China isn't having any water sharing agreement with India and Bangladesh, it is
not bound to any treaty and doesn't need to consider the concerns of downstream
countries.
In
recent years the idea is floated that the hydropower is a source of clean
energy.
However
this idea falls within the realms of debate. The claim that hydropower is a
source of clean energy is being used by Beijing to push dam building projects
in the region.
Damming
of rivers might seem to some as a source of clean energy, while to others is damaging
to the ecology. More ominously experts are aware that many of these dams being
built are located in highly seismic prone area. In an event of an
earthquake, ineffective water management and deforestation in this region make
the region vulnerable to flood or drought. These dams can wreak havoc
accidentally or can be used to choreograph such incident in times of conflict
and war.
A
dam breach in May 2000 in Tibet led to a massive flood in Arunachal Pradesh and
it caused an extensive loss of life and destruction of key infrastructure. The
Indian government accused the Beijing counterpart for not sharing vital and
timely information about the water level of the Brahmaputra which
triggered a flood to Arunachal Pradesh. This necessitated the 2002
agreement, in which China agreed to supply river flow data to India during the
flood season. But China refused to talk about its proposed dam building
plan. So to avoid any political disputes with India, China shows its
cooperative face for a short term when pressure arose and when pressure abates,
China returns to its actual plan.
Moreover
the flood remains a concern for the downstream countries and may worsen in
the long run with the continued melting of Tibetan glacier as a result of
global warming. Yao Tandong, a leading Chinese glaciologist, reports that the
glaciers on the Tibetan plateau are now melting at an accelerating rate. He
believes that the two thirds of these glaciers could be gone by 2060 if the
melting continues at the same rate.
The
Yarlung Tsangpo has its water source from these glaciers. If the glaciers
continue to retreat at such rate then in future there will be a severe water
crisis in Asia.
China continues
with dam building on international rivers without consulting downstream
countries. When the riparian countries voice their concerns, China always
maintains consistency in its response to such accusations, which is invariably
a complete denial, and then a promise to consult. After this China continue its
dam building activities regardless.
In
2010, there was widespread drought in Southeast Asia because of China's
construction of hydropower dam on the upper reaches of the Mekong which
originates from Tibet. This drought compelled many of the Southeast Asia to
lodge their collective and strong protest to Beijing.
In
order to prevent India and Bangladesh from lodging any strong protest, China
announced its construction of the Zangmu hydropower station. Beijing also
explained that the construction of this dam on Brahmaputra would not reduce its
volume of water to the downstream countries.
Until
now, India and Bangladesh have been reactive rather than proactive to show
their concern about China upstream dam building. A tripartite agreement between
them is imperative. It is therefore time for the governments of India and
Bangladesh to come together and start initiating talks before it is too
late.
*The
author is an environment research fellow at the Tibet Policy Institute. Views
expressed here do not necessarily reflect those of the Tibet Policy Institute.